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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ndb1primmRN1snoopy.trader
Record (consensus markets)63% (993–578, n=1571)50% (1144–1155, n=2299)47% (14379–15895, n=30274)49% (280–291, n=571)
Consensus PnL$4.8M$3.6M$14.8M$92K
Tracked asPM monthly #96PM monthly #47PM monthly #27 + pinnedwas PM monthly #939
Sides with the consensus71% (58 of 82 open)75% (3 of 4 open)53% (18 of 34 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
Weakest topicNFL −8 pts, n=147———
Settled positions, side won64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%45% of 491 at avg 36¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 14% of 187)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2588)54% (won 15% of 264)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 39% of 269)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5673)12% (won 54% of 59)
Entries 50–70¢23% (won 57% of 328)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9163)15% (won 81% of 72)
Entries 70¢ and up44% (won 94% of 622)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8536)20% (won 97% of 96)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.