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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| ndb1 | primm | RadioCCOD | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 50% (1144–1155, n=2299) | 39% (125–192, n=317) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.8M | $3.6M | $31K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #97 | PM monthly #47 | PM monthly #945 |
| Sides with the consensus | 72% (59 of 82 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 82% (154 of 188 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | Soccer −1 pts, n=40 |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 41% of 258 at avg 20¢, ROI +8% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 74% (won 23% of 190) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 10% (won 81% of 27) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 12% (won 94% of 31) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 4% (won 100% of 10) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | primm | RadioCCOD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $357 | — | Yes $2 |