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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1primmRadioCCOD
Record (consensus markets)52% (7654–6941, n=14595)63% (1095–631, n=1726)50% (1244–1255, n=2499)39% (127–196, n=323)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$4.8M$3.6M$31K
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #98PM monthly #52PM monthly #957
Sides with the consensus73% (241 of 328 open)71% (70 of 98 open)69% (11 of 16 open)86% (184 of 215 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147—Soccer −1 pts, n=40
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%41% of 258 at avg 20¢, ROI +8%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)5% (won 94% of 51)74% (won 23% of 190)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)41% (won 99% of 421)10% (won 81% of 27)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)49% (won 99% of 508)12% (won 94% of 31)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)5% (won 100% of 47)4% (won 100% of 10)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1primmRadioCCOD
Lions vs. Dolphins
opposite sides · consensus Lions
Dolphins $165—Lions $14K—
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.4KNo $41——
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $357—Yes $3