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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | quietparcel | RN1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (888–469, n=1357) | 44% (6313–8127, n=14440) | 47% (13363–14875, n=28238) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $4.2M | $45K | $14.8M | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #146 | PM monthly #251 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | — |
| Sides with the consensus | 74% (35 of 47 open) | 83% (172 of 208 open) | 63% (129 of 206 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | Mentions −4 pts, n=646 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 39% of 5625 at avg 41¢, ROI −2% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 58% (won 1% of 3260) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 2% (won 39% of 118) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 4% (won 60% of 198) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 36% (won 96% of 2049) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | quietparcel | RN1 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AEK win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $234K | — | No $6.5K | — |