← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | rayvanmechelen | RN1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 66% (870–454, n=1324) | 88% (2291–318, n=2609) | 47% (12761–14165, n=26926) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $4.2M | $32K | $14.8M | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #12 | was PM monthly #1000 | PM monthly #23 + pinned | — |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (25 of 36 open) | 68% (15 of 22 open) | 63% (59 of 93 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 98% of 980 at avg 56¢, ROI +45% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 2% (won 95% of 21) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 32% (won 98% of 318) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 51% (won 98% of 504) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 14% (won 98% of 137) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | rayvanmechelen | RN1 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Southampton FC win on 2026-11-03? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $595 | Yes $947 | — |
| Huddersfield Town AFC vs. Luton Town FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $10 | Over $431 | — |
| Will Wigan Athletic FC win on 2026-10-03? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $28 | No $225 | — |
| Will Derby County FC win on 2026-11-03? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $10 | Yes $24 | — |
| Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $10 | Under $10 | — |
| Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-11-03? same side · consensus No | — | No $248 | No $2 | — |