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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
nobody2somebody00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241CORGII
Record (consensus markets)73% (626–228, n=854)75% (6–2, n=8)56% (101–79, n=180)62% (393–246, n=639)
Consensus PnL$425K$3.5M$3.5M$4.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #970was PM monthly #19was PM monthly #373PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus20% (1 of 5 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position33% (1 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topicSoccer −2 pts, n=64———
Settled positions, side won80% of 770 at avg 57¢, ROI +24%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 44% of 39)0%7% (won 75% of 8)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 69% of 191)0%26% (won 93% of 29)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢48% (won 84% of 366)100% (won 86% of 7)42% (won 96% of 47)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up23% (won 90% of 174)0%24% (won 96% of 27)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketnobody2somebody00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241CORGII
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
opposite sides · consensus TheMongolz
Legacy $4.0K——TheMongolz $15K
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B
same side · consensus Aurora Gaming
Liquid $241——Liquid $12K
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
same side · consensus Heroic
B8 $1.2K——B8 $9.7K