Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
nomoredream0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816ndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)65% (245–132, n=377)61% (495–321, n=816)65% (862–456, n=1318)47% (13871–15347, n=29218)
Consensus PnL$54K-$352K$4.1M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #491was PM monthly #51PM monthly #69PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position80% (12 of 15 open)68% (49 of 72 open)54% (30 of 56 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—Soccer ±0 pts, n=115NFL −10 pts, n=132—
Settled positions, side won76% of 375 at avg 66¢, ROI +9%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 10% of 40)15% (won 29% of 125)13% (won 16% of 160)10% (won 57% of 2537)
Entries 30–50¢11% (won 45% of 40)34% (won 58% of 283)20% (won 39% of 252)22% (won 94% of 5518)
Entries 50–70¢25% (won 73% of 94)43% (won 69% of 354)24% (won 57% of 306)36% (won 99% of 8928)
Entries 70¢ and up54% (won 96% of 201)7% (won 80% of 60)43% (won 93% of 540)32% (won 100% of 7821)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketnomoredream0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816ndb1RN1
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $7.4KNo $146—
Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.6K—Under $129