← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:beachboy4CORGIIsainttroplay00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241primm
| norrisfan | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 38% (335–536, n=871) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | -$462K | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #936 + pinned | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 61% (28 of 46 open) | 73% (72 of 98 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | NBA −10 pts, n=67 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 41% of 1035 at avg 42¢, ROI −1% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 28% (won 11% of 291) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 39% of 358) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 25% (won 54% of 261) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 12% (won 88% of 125) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | norrisfan | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $228 | Magic $51K |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $161 | Magic $13K |