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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| omnibus-076daa | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (14425–14501, n=28926) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.3M | $4.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #27 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 56% (9 of 16 open) | no open consensus position | 85% (52 of 61 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 91% of 10937 at avg 60¢, ROI +32% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 8% (won 59% of 872) | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 21% (won 86% of 2346) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 38% (won 95% of 4200) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 32% (won 99% of 3519) | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | omnibus-076daa | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $2.0K | — | Yes $85K |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $3.0K | — | Yes $30K |