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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
oxe78sh4w9800gringo00CORGIIRN1
Record (consensus markets)53% (371–326, n=697)75% (6–2, n=8)61% (394–247, n=641)47% (13849–15328, n=29177)
Consensus PnL$45K$3.5M$4.5M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #299was PM monthly #19PM monthly #68PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)50% (2 of 4 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 337 at avg 57¢, ROI +43%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 71% of 14)0%9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 57% of 2537)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 97% of 87)0%56% (won 99% of 223)22% (won 94% of 5518)
Entries 50–70¢48% (won 98% of 163)100% (won 86% of 7)33% (won 100% of 133)36% (won 99% of 8928)
Entries 70¢ and up22% (won 100% of 73)0%2% (won 100% of 7)32% (won 100% of 7821)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketoxe78sh4w9800gringo00CORGIIRN1
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Tatiana Prozorova
opposite sides · consensus Tatiana Prozorova
Tatiana Prozorova $931——Claire Liu $1.6K