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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
oxe78sh4w98RN100gringo00BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)53% (371–327, n=698)47% (13860–15341, n=29201)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (542–652, n=1194)
Consensus PnL$45K$13.4M$3.5M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #299PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #19PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 2 open)83% (5 of 6 open)no open consensus position89% (146 of 164 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 337 at avg 57¢, ROI +43%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 71% of 14)10% (won 57% of 2537)0%10% (won 82% of 56)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 97% of 87)22% (won 94% of 5518)0%36% (won 98% of 198)
Entries 50–70¢48% (won 98% of 163)36% (won 99% of 8928)100% (won 86% of 7)35% (won 99% of 191)
Entries 70¢ and up22% (won 100% of 73)32% (won 100% of 7821)0%19% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketoxe78sh4w98RN100gringo00BreakTheBank
Rolex Paris Masters: Luciano Darderi vs Rinky Hijikata
opposite sides · consensus Rinky Hijikata
Luciano Darderi $707Rinky Hijikata $41K——