← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| pantomime | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (850–683, n=1533) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $261K | $4.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #481 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (5 of 10 open) | no open consensus position | 74% (72 of 97 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | NFL −3 pts, n=111 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 51% of 1700 at avg 48¢, ROI +1% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 43% (won 10% of 729) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 11% (won 46% of 183) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 10% (won 65% of 175) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 36% (won 97% of 613) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | pantomime | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $771 | — | Yes $38K |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $7 | — | Yes $28K |