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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
pauleta2300gringo00BreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)65% (15818–8435, n=24253)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (542–652, n=1194)47% (13855–15340, n=29195)
Consensus PnL$243K$3.5M$10.6M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #843was PM monthly #19PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus67% (2 of 3 open)no open consensus position90% (147 of 164 open)75% (3 of 4 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won84% of 10570 at avg 61¢, ROI +25%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 32% of 1297)0%10% (won 82% of 56)10% (won 57% of 2537)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 77% of 1980)0%36% (won 98% of 198)22% (won 94% of 5518)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 91% of 3088)100% (won 86% of 7)35% (won 99% of 191)36% (won 99% of 8928)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 97% of 4205)0%19% (won 100% of 107)32% (won 100% of 7821)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketpauleta2300gringo00BreakTheBankRN1
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Katie Volynets vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich
opposite sides · consensus Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Katie Volynets $25——Aliaksandra Sasnovich $75K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $1.1K——No $7.7K