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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| poptree | RN1 | 00gringo00 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 70% (290–124, n=414) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $332K | $13.4M | $3.5M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (5 of 6 open) | 68% (17 of 25 open) | no open consensus position | 53% (9 of 17 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 70% of 438 at avg 62¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 26% (won 11% of 116) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 0% | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 8% (won 49% of 35) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 0% | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 85% of 41) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 56% (won 99% of 246) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 0% | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | poptree | RN1 | 00gringo00 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Falcons | — | Falcons $2.7K | — | Buccaneers $3.0K |