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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| poptree | sainttroplay | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 70% (288–124, n=412) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) |
| Consensus PnL | $332K | $4.4M | $3.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #11 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (5 of 7 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 81% (58 of 72 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 70% of 438 at avg 62¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 26% (won 11% of 116) | 0% | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 8% (won 49% of 35) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 85% of 41) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 56% (won 99% of 246) | 0% | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | poptree | sainttroplay | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $22K | — | — | No $34K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $14K | — | — | Yes $36K |