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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
primmBreakTheBank00gringo00CORGII
Record (consensus markets)50% (941–941, n=1882)45% (526–640, n=1166)75% (6–2, n=8)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL$3.4M$10.6M$3.5M$4.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #181PM monthly #1was PM monthly #19PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus63% (5 of 8 open)73% (72 of 98 open)no open consensus position25% (1 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 93% of 43)10% (won 85% of 53)0%9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢41% (won 99% of 366)36% (won 98% of 192)0%56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 99% of 433)35% (won 99% of 187)100% (won 86% of 7)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 41)20% (won 100% of 107)0%2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketprimmBreakTheBank00gringo00CORGII
Chiefs vs. Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Broncos $7.4KChiefs $465K——