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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
primmRN1S-Workswhite-rabbit
Record (consensus markets)49% (1224–1251, n=2475)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)75% (2546–856, n=3402)58% (400–289, n=689)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$14.8M$3.7M$333K
Tracked asPM monthly #53PM monthly #31 + pinnedPM monthly #74PM monthly #793
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position62% (16 of 26 open)67% (2 of 3 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic——Crypto −1 pts, n=46—
Settled positions, side won99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%58% of 605 at avg 51¢, ROI +12%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)28% (won 5% of 167)
Entries 30–50¢41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)17% (won 32% of 105)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)25% (won 86% of 153)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)30% (won 97% of 180)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.