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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
primmRN1soapbubbles
Record (consensus markets)50% (1105–1116, n=2221)47% (14161–15670, n=29831)65% (28–15, n=43)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$14.8M$29K
Tracked asPM monthly #48PM monthly #32 + pinnedPM monthly #734
Sides with the consensus53% (10 of 19 open)55% (42 of 76 open)90% (9 of 10 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%89% of 27 at avg 68¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)7% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)33% (won 100% of 9)
Entries 50–70¢50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)4% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)56% (won 93% of 15)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketprimmRN1soapbubbles
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 30.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $12KOver $10K—
Spread: Jaguars (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $9.7KJaguars $7.1K—
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.8KOver $1.0K—
Spread: UTSA (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic $2.4KUTSA $302—
Spread: James Madison (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus James Madison
James Madison $1.6KSouthern Miss $408—
Spread: James Madison (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Southern Miss
James Madison $1.4KSouthern Miss $268—
Spread: Jaguars (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $560Jaguars $174—
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic $41KFlorida Atlantic $20K—
Spread: Jaguars (-16.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
Ravens $230Ravens $1.8K—
Spread: Jaguars (-13.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
Ravens $1.1KRavens $654—