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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | primm | RN1 | soapbubbles | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 50% (1105–1116, n=2221) | 47% (14161–15670, n=29831) | 65% (28–15, n=43) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $3.6M | $14.8M | $29K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #47 | PM monthly #32 + pinned | PM monthly #744 |
| Sides with the consensus | 85% (23 of 27 open) | 100% (3 of 3 open) | 50% (16 of 32 open) | 80% (8 of 10 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 89% of 27 at avg 68¢, ROI +22% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) | 7% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 41% (won 99% of 412) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) | 33% (won 100% of 9) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 50% (won 99% of 503) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) | 4% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) | 56% (won 93% of 15) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | primm | RN1 | soapbubbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Warriors (-3.5) same side · consensus Heat | Warriors $3.5K | — | Warriors $510 | — |