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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
primmRN1weflyhigh
Record (consensus markets)50% (1105–1117, n=2222)48% (14109–15586, n=29695)52% (413–378, n=791)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$14.8M$3.0M
Tracked asPM monthly #46PM monthly #28 + pinnedHand-picked
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position62% (95 of 154 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +19 pts n=32, ROI +31%
  • NHL +4 pts n=589, ROI +3%
  • NBA +11 pts n=45, ROI +13%
Weakest topic——Entertainment −21 pts, n=12
Settled positions, side won99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%56% of 731 at avg 51¢, ROI +7%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)4% (won 27% of 26)
Entries 30–50¢41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)41% (won 50% of 298)
Entries 50–70¢50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)51% (won 59% of 371)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)5% (won 89% of 36)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.