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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
rroosterBreakTheBank00gringo00RN1
Record (consensus markets)64% (1321–754, n=2075)45% (537–650, n=1187)75% (6–2, n=8)48% (12930–14106, n=27036)
Consensus PnL$13K$10.6M$3.5M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #977PM monthly #1was PM monthly #19PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position85% (52 of 61 open)no open consensus position64% (7 of 11 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicMLB ±0 pts, n=139———
Settled positions, side won65% of 1983 at avg 61¢, ROI +4%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢6% (won 15% of 127)10% (won 85% of 53)0%10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢23% (won 46% of 458)36% (won 98% of 192)0%22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢38% (won 64% of 745)35% (won 99% of 187)100% (won 86% of 7)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up33% (won 90% of 653)20% (won 100% of 107)0%31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketrroosterBreakTheBank00gringo00RN1
Eagles vs. Commanders
same side · consensus Commanders
—Commanders $1.1M—Commanders $27K