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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
seeeeeebsainttroplayBreakTheBankbeachboy4
Record (consensus markets)70% (654–283, n=937)71% (10–4, n=14)45% (526–640, n=1166)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL-$14K$4.4M$10.6M$5.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #963was PM monthly #11PM monthly #1was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus44% (4 of 9 open)no open consensus position72% (74 of 103 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +31 pts n=62, ROI −9%
  • NBA +35 pts n=35, ROI +35%
  • Crypto +13 pts n=190, ROI +12%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic———NBA −6 pts, n=92
Settled positions, side won97% of 307 at avg 76¢, ROI −1%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 67% of 15)0%10% (won 85% of 53)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢10% (won 83% of 30)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 98% of 192)29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢20% (won 100% of 61)50% (won 100% of 5)35% (won 99% of 187)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up65% (won 100% of 201)0%20% (won 100% of 107)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.