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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| sentrio | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (14226–14070, n=28296) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 47% (13858–15341, n=29199) |
| Consensus PnL | $169K | $10.6M | $4.4M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #994 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (15 of 30 open) | 90% (147 of 163 open) | no open consensus position | 80% (4 of 5 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 4081 at avg 61¢, ROI +37% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 6% (won 96% of 235) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 0% | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 99% of 1077) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 33% (won 100% of 1343) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 35% (won 100% of 1426) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | sentrio | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taipei: Joel Schwaerzler vs Jan Kumstat opposite sides · consensus Jan Kumstat | Joel Schwaerzler $443 | — | — | Jan Kumstat $8.9K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Luciano Darderi vs Rinky Hijikata opposite sides · consensus Rinky Hijikata | Luciano Darderi $158 | — | — | Rinky Hijikata $1.5K |