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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
sfkjbsr457BreakTheBank0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)59% (4469–3130, n=7599)45% (526–640, n=1166)56% (101–79, n=180)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$53K$10.6M$3.5M$4.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #964PM monthly #1was PM monthly #373was PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus6% (1 of 17 open)73% (72 of 99 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Crypto +28 pts n=3246, ROI +24%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won80% of 3249 at avg 52¢, ROI +24%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢0% (won 50% of 6)10% (won 85% of 53)7% (won 75% of 8)0%
Entries 30–50¢47% (won 76% of 1535)36% (won 98% of 192)26% (won 93% of 29)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢50% (won 83% of 1632)35% (won 99% of 187)42% (won 96% of 47)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up2% (won 96% of 76)20% (won 100% of 107)24% (won 96% of 27)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketsfkjbsr457BreakTheBank0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241sainttroplay
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $72Yes $2.2K——