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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
suntori0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188joseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (10698–13033, n=23731)46% (131–154, n=285)50% (10–10, n=20)47% (13868–15346, n=29214)
Consensus PnL$207K$19.1M$5.3M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #792was PM monthly #715PM monthly #2PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus51% (71 of 138 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position83% (5 of 6 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +4 pts n=196, ROI +5%
Weakest topicCrypto −3 pts, n=3302College Basketball −12 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won42% of 10150 at avg 43¢, ROI −2%49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢35% (won 9% of 3590)0% (won 17% of 6)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2537)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 36% of 2197)42% (won 46% of 565)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5518)
Entries 50–70¢25% (won 59% of 2489)57% (won 51% of 766)65% (won 73% of 11)36% (won 99% of 8928)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 88% of 1874)0% (won 100% of 4)18% (won 67% of 3)32% (won 100% of 7821)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketsuntori0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188joseph00677RN1
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $13——No $7.7K
Will BG Pathum United win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $34——No $1.4K
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Mariano Navone
same side · consensus Luca Van Assche
Mariano Navone $50——Mariano Navone $631