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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| takeormake | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (2318–1930, n=4248) | 45% (535–643, n=1178) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $986K | $10.6M | $5.8M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #25 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 53% (8 of 15 open) | 71% (82 of 116 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 87% of 2057 at avg 57¢, ROI +12% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 33% of 220) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 84% of 413) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 45% (won 96% of 918) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 98% of 506) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | takeormake | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $971 | Yes $86 | — | — |