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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| tescat | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (354–273, n=627) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 53% (10–9, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.1K | $11.0M | $5.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #999 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #2 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (17 of 24 open) | 87% (143 of 164 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Soccer −7 pts, n=41 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 17% of 584 at avg 18¢, ROI 0% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 78% (won 3% of 454) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 36% of 39) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 6% (won 70% of 33) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 10% (won 90% of 58) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | tescat | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $215 | Yes $172K | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $102 | Yes $14K | — |