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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
tescatbeachboy4ndb1
Record (consensus markets)56% (354–273, n=627)68% (43–20, n=63)65% (862–456, n=1318)
Consensus PnL$3.1K$5.8M$4.1M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #999was PM monthly #24PM monthly #69
Sides with the consensus71% (17 of 24 open)100% (1 of 1 open)68% (48 of 71 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicSoccer −7 pts, n=41NBA −6 pts, n=93NFL −10 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won17% of 584 at avg 18¢, ROI 0%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢78% (won 3% of 454)3% (won 17% of 6)13% (won 16% of 160)
Entries 30–50¢7% (won 36% of 39)30% (won 57% of 63)20% (won 39% of 252)
Entries 50–70¢6% (won 70% of 33)54% (won 51% of 115)24% (won 57% of 306)
Entries 70¢ and up10% (won 90% of 58)14% (won 86% of 29)43% (won 93% of 540)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Markettescatbeachboy4ndb1
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $215—Yes $2.7M
2026 Balance of Power: Other
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $5—Yes $1.1K