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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| thefakenick | beachboy4 | ndb1 | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 60% (666–447, n=1113) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 65% (862–456, n=1318) | 53% (10–9, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | $52K | $5.8M | $4.1M | $5.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #264 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #69 | PM monthly #2 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (7 of 8 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 68% (48 of 71 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Tennis −5 pts, n=31 | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 47% of 1123 at avg 46¢, ROI 0% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 47% (won 5% of 524) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 36% of 74) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 20% (won 39% of 252) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 6% (won 61% of 72) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 24% (won 57% of 306) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 96% of 453) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 43% (won 93% of 540) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | thefakenick | beachboy4 | ndb1 | joseph00677 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $268 | — | Yes $5.5K | — |