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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
us391beachboy4RN1
Record (consensus markets)50% (1968–1934, n=3902)68% (43–20, n=63)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$109K$5.8M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #747was PM monthly #24PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus75% (9 of 12 open)100% (1 of 1 open)64% (21 of 33 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +29 pts n=2284, ROI +19%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=92—
Settled positions, side won81% of 2284 at avg 52¢, ROI +19%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 34% of 208)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢37% (won 79% of 834)29% (won 56% of 62)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢37% (won 90% of 853)54% (won 51% of 115)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 90% of 389)14% (won 86% of 29)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketus391beachboy4RN1
Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus Yes
No $1.8K—No $2.2K