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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| zxc368 | RN1 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 99% (13369–172, n=13541) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $232K | $13.4M | $4.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #739 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (7 of 7 open) | 53% (33 of 62 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (72 of 98 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Crypto ±0 pts, n=276 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 10006 at avg 99¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 16% of 86) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% (won 67% of 18) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% (won 80% of 10) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 99% (won 100% of 9892) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | zxc368 | RN1 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.4K | Over $7.0K | — | — |
| Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $3.5K | Under $1.0K | — | — |
| Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3.1K | No $18 | — | — |
| Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $487 | Under $6 | — | — |
| Real Sociedad de Fútbol leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $219 | Yes $54 | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $228 | — | Magic $51K |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $161 | — | Magic $13K |