tunatyler

• Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?No $13K · now 84¢ · in at 84¢with the consensus (63% of 16)
• Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 30, 2026?Yes $12K · now 73¢ · in at 86¢with the consensus (63% of 53)
• Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?No $3.5K · now 35¢ · in at 33¢with the consensus (63% of 17)
• Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?Yes $3.0K · now 60¢ · in at 66¢with the consensus (63% of 116)
• Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbia presidential election?No $864 · now 25¢ · in at 24¢against the consensus (Yes)
• Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?No $761 · now 84¢ · in at 58¢with the consensus (68% of 26)
• Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?No $92 · now 54¢ · in at 51¢with the consensus (60% of 20)

No topic with 10 or more settled markets where tunatyler's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.

Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.