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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will FC Lugano vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris end in a draw?

Resolved No. 38% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

13

No 27%

Total Value

$942.42

Combined PnL

-$164.61

Smart Money Signal

No

5 of 13 top traders (38%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%
No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No5 traders
Total Value$936.89
Total Shares937
Combined PnL+$15.09
Yes8 traders
Total Value$5.54
Total Shares1,773
Combined PnL-$179.7
No — 38%Yes — 62%
FL
Flaznorp
No

Invested

$830.26

Value

$823.16

PnL

-$7.1

Record

51%

25823-24512 (50335)

KE
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh<$100
No

Invested

$68.29

Value

$66.3

PnL

-$1.99

Record

46%

1548-1827 (3375)

0X
0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2<$100
No

Invested

$47.96

Value

$47.43

PnL

-$0.53

Record

52%

14511-13193 (27704)

38
38791873984189CTR
Yes

Invested

$337.96

Value

$5.54

PnL

-$12.11

Record

48%

61256-66065 (127321)

0X
0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

24%

469-1447 (1916)

RN1CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$8.79

Value

—

PnL

-$8.79

Record

53%

61400-53704 (115104)

LU
LuckyLooCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$17.51

Value

—

PnL

-$17.51

Record

49%

14720-15397 (30117)

tradecraftCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$2.36

Value

—

PnL

-$2.36

Record

51%

6362-6143 (12505)

LI
LimousinCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$40.16

Value

—

PnL

-$40.16

Record

53%

1442-1288 (2730)

LI
LilybaeumCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$4.72

Value

—

PnL

-$4.72

Record

61%

14373-9301 (23674)

PA
Pan9X
No

Invested

$389.72

Value

—

PnL

+$24.7

Record

54%

9751-8144 (17895)

LI
LightParadoxCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$63.57

Value

—

PnL

-$63.57

Record

51%

1393-1314 (2707)

MA
MadridTimeCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$30.49

Value

—

PnL

-$30.49

Record

50%

1340-1327 (2667)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x9604d21d...9ed853
Slug
col-lug-kau-2026-11-05-draw

Traders in this Market

FL

Flaznorp

No — $823.16

-$7.1
KE

keeptheblueflagflyinghigh

No — $66.3

-$1.99
0X

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2

No — $47.43

-$0.53
38

38791873984189

CTR

Yes — $5.54

-$12.11
0X

0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179

No — $0

+$0

RN1

CTR

Yes — $0

-$8.79
LU

LuckyLoo

CTR

Yes — $0

-$17.51

tradecraft

CTR

Yes — $0

-$2.36
LI

Limousin

CTR

Yes — $0

-$40.16
LI

Lilybaeum

CTR

Yes — $0

-$4.72
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