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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will Lille OSC win on 2026-11-03?

Resolved No. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

11

No 70%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$7.9K

Combined PnL

$-2.7K

Smart Money Signal

No

8 of 11 top traders (73%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%
No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No8 traders
Total Value$7.8K
Total Shares7,817
Combined PnL+$1.5K
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares22,245
Combined PnL$-4.2K
No — 73%Yes — 27%
GO
GoalLineGhost
No

Invested

$4,795.67

Value

$5.9K

PnL

+$1.1K

Record

50%

27338-27264 (54602)

0X
0xE5F0AE9cc9aeF77ae3c2A64c9E69caa3F335dc1d-1773531520731CTR
Yes

Invested

$4,180

Value

—

PnL

$-4.2K

Record

32%

753-1602 (2355)

LI
LightParadox
No

Invested

$1,322.37

Value

$1.6K

PnL

+$314.23

Record

53%

921-802 (1723)

OD
Oddstorm
No

Invested

$9.5

Value

$125.04

PnL

+$26.88

Record

48%

7240-7720 (14960)

CA
CannaeARB<$100
Yes

Invested

$85.88

Value

$39.26

PnL

-$47.6

Record

53%

16390-14565 (30955)

Both legs:

Yes$55.2517¢-$55.25
No$30.6278¢+$7.66
MA
MadridTime
No

Invested

$92.4

Value

$113

PnL

+$20.6

Record

52%

847-783 (1630)

SU
suntoriCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$44.55

Value

—

PnL

-$44.55

Record

45%

13709-16632 (30341)

GH
ghorrock<$100
No

Invested

$33.48

Value

$43.48

PnL

+$8.48

Record

58%

18645-13742 (32387)

AN
AnonymousUsername<$100
No

Invested

$15

Value

$20

PnL

+$4.5

Record

71%

6986-2793 (9779)

AM
ameisgoat11<$100
No

Invested

$8.04

Value

$10

PnL

+$1.96

Record

52%

8478-7730 (16208)

38
38791873984189CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$8.06

Value

—

PnL

-$8.06

Record

48%

14412-15920 (30332)

VeryLucky888
No

Invested

$1,068.34

Value

$0

PnL

+$62.34

Record

58%

44668-32527 (77195)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x04fd3820...5d0683
Slug
ucl-bog-lil-2026-11-03-lil

Traders in this Market

GO

GoalLineGhost

No — $5.9K

+$1.1K
0X

0xE5F0AE9cc9aeF77ae3c2A64c9E69caa3F335dc1d-1773531520731

CTR

Yes — $0

$-4.2K
LI

LightParadox

No — $1.6K

+$314.23
OD

Oddstorm

No — $125.04

+$26.88
CA

Cannae

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

-$47.6
MA

MadridTime

No — $113

+$20.6
SU

suntori

CTR

Yes — $0

-$44.55
GH

ghorrock

No — $43.48

+$8.48
AN

AnonymousUsername

No — $20

+$4.5
AM

ameisgoat11

No — $10

+$1.96
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