Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Noma Noha Akugue

8 of 11 top Polymarket traders hold Noma Noha Akugue (73%) · Noma Noha Akugue at 83¢ · $1K held · ends Nov 13

Justina Mikulskyte18¢Noma Noha Akugue82¢Ends Fri, Nov 13, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Noma Noha Akugue

Consensus Traders

Noma Noha Akugue 73%

Total Value

$1.4K

Combined PnL

$0.8

Smart Money Entry

82.4¢ → 82.5¢

+0% since entry · 8 traders

Research grade

NeutralNoma Noha Akugue at 83%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Noma Noha Akugue

8 of 11 top traders (73%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Justina Mikulskyte18%

Noma Noha Akugue83%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Noma Noha Akugue8 traders

Total Value$1.4K

Total Shares1,641

Combined PnL+$0.47

Justina Mikulskyte3 traders

Total Value$64.05

Total Shares377

Combined PnL+$0.33

Noma Noha Akugue — 73%Justina Mikulskyte — 27%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Surging

+10 pts consensus

Breadth

8 traders

Top 2 hold 84%

Freshness

Fresh

8h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

73% of non-arb traders are on Noma Noha Akugue. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 84% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

whaleNoma Noha Akugue 100% · 2

Aligned

ctrNoma Noha Akugue 88% · 8

Aligned

Hand-pickedNoma Noha Akugue 100% · 3

Aligned

Top 1000Noma Noha Akugue 67% · 9

Aligned

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
VeryLucky888	Noma Noha Akugueavg 82¢	$953.94	$959.75	+$5.82	58% 47020-33905 (80925)
0xheavy888	Noma Noha Akugueavg 84¢	$168	$165	-$3	56% 8090-6420 (14510)
FL Flaznorp<$100	Noma Noha Akugueavg 83¢	$83.44	$81.43	-$2.01	51% 26298-24932 (51230)
Basquetipster<$100	Noma Noha Akugueavg 82.7¢	$78.32	$78.09	-$0.23	53% 1786-1560 (3346)
PA Pan9X<$100	Noma Noha Akugueavg 82¢	$33	$33.21	+$0.21	54% 10064-8455 (18519)
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100	Justina Mikulskyteavg 17.4¢	$26.39	$25.84	-$0.54	49% 1535-1615 (3150)
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100	Justina Mikulskyteavg 16.7¢	$24.76	$25.24	+$0.74	50% 1578-1595 (3173)
SE sentrio<$100	Noma Noha Akugueavg 83¢	$19.1	$18.64	-$0.46	50% 26078-25733 (51811)
LI LilybaeumCTR<$100	Justina Mikulskyteavg 16.8¢	$12.83	$12.96	+$0.13	61% 14437-9367 (23804)
AM ameisgoat11<$100	Noma Noha Akugueavg 82.5¢	$8.25	$8.25	+$0	52% 8829-8033 (16862)
rayvanmechelen<$100	Noma Noha Akugueavg 81¢	$7.6	$7.74	+$0.14	53% 2613-2309 (4922)

VeryLucky888

Noma Noha Akugue

Invested

$953.94

Value

$959.75

PnL

+$5.82

Record

58%

47020-33905 (80925)

0xheavy888

Noma Noha Akugue

Invested

$168

Value

$165

PnL

-$3

Record

56%

8090-6420 (14510)

Flaznorp<$100

Noma Noha Akugue

Invested

$83.44

Value

$81.43

PnL

-$2.01

Record

51%

26298-24932 (51230)

Basquetipster<$100

Noma Noha Akugue

Invested

$78.32

Value

$78.09

PnL

-$0.23

Record

53%

1786-1560 (3346)

Pan9X<$100

Noma Noha Akugue

Invested

$33

Value

$33.21

PnL

+$0.21

Record

54%

10064-8455 (18519)

MadridTimeCTR<$100

Justina Mikulskyte

Invested

$26.39

Value

$25.84

PnL

-$0.54

Record

49%

1535-1615 (3150)

LightParadoxCTR<$100

Justina Mikulskyte

Invested

$24.76

Value

$25.24

PnL

+$0.74

Record

50%

1578-1595 (3173)

sentrio<$100

Noma Noha Akugue

Invested

$19.1

Value

$18.64

PnL

-$0.46

Record

50%

26078-25733 (51811)

LilybaeumCTR<$100

Justina Mikulskyte

Invested

$12.83

Value

$12.96

PnL

+$0.13

Record

61%

14437-9367 (23804)

ameisgoat11<$100

Noma Noha Akugue

Invested

$8.25

Value

$8.25

PnL

+$0

Record

52%

8829-8033 (16862)

rayvanmechelen<$100

Noma Noha Akugue

Invested

$7.6

Value

$7.74

PnL

+$0.14

Record

53%

2613-2309 (4922)

Research grade

NeutralNoma Noha Akugue at 83%

Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

Smart Money Signal

Noma Noha Akugue

8 of 11 top traders (73%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Surging

+10 pts consensus

Breadth

8 traders

Top 2 hold 84%

Freshness

Fresh

8h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

73% of non-arb traders are on Noma Noha Akugue. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 84% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

whaleNoma Noha Akugue 100% · 2

Aligned

ctrNoma Noha Akugue 88% · 8

Aligned

Hand-pickedNoma Noha Akugue 100% · 3

Aligned

Top 1000Noma Noha Akugue 67% · 9

Aligned

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Noma Noha Akugue wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance84.2%

82.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.7¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$18.78

Max Loss

-$100.00

118.8

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.