Consensus PnL $39K · win rate 62% (1870–1128, n=2998) · was PM monthly #911 · holds 7 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$39.4K
Record
1870W / 1128L
Win Rate
62.0%
of 2998 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1056
Source
PM monthly #911
Trades
620
Markets
3,928
Volume
$15.6M
Top consensus positions
7 in listed consensus markets · 5 of 7 on the consensus side (71%)- Utah vs. FlyersUtah $6.0K · now 61¢ · in at 60¢with the consensus (33% of 10)
- Patriots vs. Dolphins: O/U 42.5Over $2.4K · now 45¢ · in at 47¢against the consensus (Under)
- Chiefs vs. BroncosChiefs $1.7K · now 52¢ · in at 51¢with the consensus (80% of 12)
- Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)Buccaneers $1.2K · now 49¢ · in at 48¢against the consensus (Falcons)
- Spread: Rams (-6.5)Chargers $1.1K · now 50¢ · in at 50¢with the consensus (80% of 5)
- Falcons vs. BuccaneersFalcons $900 · now 45¢ · in at 44¢with the consensus (57% of 14)
- Spread: Lions (-2.5)Vikings $81 · now 42¢ · in at 42¢with the consensus (100% of 5)
Specialties
2,719 settled consensus markets · held side won 66% at an average entry of 49¢- College Football
+39 pts
side won 87% of 245 · avg entry 48¢
ROI +32%
- MMA
+33 pts
side won 85% of 80 · avg entry 52¢
ROI +37%
- NFL
+28 pts
side won 75% of 204 · avg entry 48¢
ROI +29%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 2%(won 24% of 59)
- 30–50¢: 56%(won 62% of 1528)
- 50–70¢: 40%(won 72% of 1087)
- 70¢ and up: 2%(won 89% of 45)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.