Consensus PnL $78K · win rate 86% (80–13, n=93) · PM monthly #310 · holds 35 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$78.1K
Record
80W / 13L
Win Rate
86.0%
of 93 settled
Batting Avg
93.9%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#248
Source
PM monthly #310
Record (90 d)
142/160 · 89%
Trades
1,917
Markets
164
Volume
$412.8K
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Top consensus positions
35 in listed consensus markets · 19 of 35 on the consensus side (54%)- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes $20K · now 96¢ · in at 42¢with the consensus (42% of 28)
- Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes $18K · now 97¢ · in at 40¢against the consensus (No)
- Will Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes $11K · now 97¢ · in at 37¢with the consensus (22% of 34)
- Spread: FK Radnicki Nis (-2.5)FK Radnicki Nis $5.1K · now 50¢ · in at 41¢with the consensus (55% of 11)
- Exact Score: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Hilal Saudi Club?Yes $4.6K · now 95¢ · in at 19¢against the consensus (No)
- Will FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo end in a draw?Yes $4.0K · now 99¢ · in at 96¢with the consensus (55% of 11)
- Will Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes $3.8K · now 97¢ · in at 39¢with the consensus (25% of 32)
- Exact Score: Al Ahli Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Taawoun Saudi Club?Yes $3.7K · now 93¢ · in at 15¢against the consensus (No)
Specialties
76 settled consensus markets · held side won 78% at an average entry of 70¢- Esports
+5 pts
side won 81% of 16 · avg entry 76¢
ROI −11%
- Tennis
+10 pts
side won 80% of 10 · avg entry 70¢
ROI +7%
- Soccer
+6 pts
side won 69% of 13 · avg entry 64¢
ROI +7%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 25%(won 26% of 19)
- 30–50¢: 3%(won 50% of 2)
- 50–70¢: 4%(won 100% of 3)
- 70¢ and up: 68%(won 96% of 52)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.