No settled consensus market yet · PM monthly #472 · holds 12 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$0
Source
PM monthly #472
Record (90 d)
63/65 · 97%
Trades
0
Markets
0
Volume
$0
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Top consensus positions
12 in listed consensus markets · 6 of 12 on the consensus side (50%)- Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club?Yes $24K · now 95¢ · in at 19¢against the consensus (No)
- Exact Score: Al Hazem SC 0 - 0 Al Nassr Saudi Club?Yes $15K · now 96¢ · in at 23¢against the consensus (No)
- Exact Score: Al Fateh Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Riyadh Saudi Club?Yes $9.7K · now 96¢ · in at 24¢against the consensus (No)
- Exact Score: Al Ahli Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Taawoun Saudi Club?Yes $8.2K · now 93¢ · in at 25¢against the consensus (No)
- Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes $7.9K · now 97¢ · in at 24¢against the consensus (No)
- Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?No $2.9K · now 98¢ · in at 33¢with the consensus (74% of 31)
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes $2.6K · now 96¢ · in at 33¢with the consensus (42% of 28)
- Exact Score: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Fayha Saudi Club?Yes $567 · now 90¢ · in at 22¢with the consensus (47% of 15)
Specialties
10 settled consensus markets · held side won 90% at an average entry of 86¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where HRAImail-.-'s side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 10%(won 0% of 1)
- 30–50¢: 0%
- 50–70¢: 0%
- 70¢ and up: 90%(won 100% of 9)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.