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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465keeptheblueflagflyinghighRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market47% (64–71, n=135)45% (200–248, n=448)66% (480–245, n=725)
Consensus PnL—-$420K$28K-$157K
Tracked as—PM monthly #10PM monthly #44PM monthly #47 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position56% (5 of 9 open)73% (19 of 26 open)100% (5 of 5 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +35 pts n=17, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36%100% of 136 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%100% of 206 at avg 68¢, ROI +33%
Entries under 30¢—3% (won 50% of 2)6% (won 100% of 8)6% (won 100% of 12)
Entries 30–50¢—26% (won 95% of 19)38% (won 100% of 51)13% (won 100% of 26)
Entries 50–70¢—46% (won 100% of 33)50% (won 100% of 68)30% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 70¢ and up—25% (won 100% of 18)7% (won 100% of 9)51% (won 100% of 106)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo000x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465keeptheblueflagflyinghighRN1
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Borna Gojo vs Ugo Humbert
same side · consensus Ugo Humbert
—Ugo Humbert $3.6KUgo Humbert $10KUgo Humbert $2.5K
Spread: Magic (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Magic $53KJazz $6.0K—
Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston
opposite sides · consensus Hugo Gaston
——Matteo Martineau $519Hugo Gaston $2
M25 San Gregorio di Catania: Andrea De Marchi vs Daniele Rapagnetta
opposite sides · consensus Andrea De Marchi
——Daniele Rapagnetta $3Andrea De Marchi $152
Sopo: Tatjana Maria vs Alice Tubello
same side · consensus Tatjana Maria
——Tatjana Maria $13KTatjana Maria $14K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Taylor Fritz vs Cameron Norrie
same side · consensus Taylor Fritz
—Taylor Fritz $2.7KTaylor Fritz $13K—
Sopo: Polona Hercog vs Carole Monnet
same side · consensus Polona Hercog
——Polona Hercog $503Polona Hercog $1.7K