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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000x53eCc53E7BreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market40% (304–459, n=763)45% (549–663, n=1212)47% (13283–14790, n=28073)
Consensus PnL—$13K$11.2M$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #616PM monthly #2PM monthly #23 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position71% (46 of 65 open)68% (30 of 44 open)43% (13 of 30 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
Weakest topic—MLB −1 pts, n=65——
Settled positions, side won—36% of 817 at avg 33¢, ROI −2%97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—55% (won 7% of 448)10% (won 81% of 57)10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢—13% (won 44% of 106)36% (won 98% of 201)22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢—15% (won 63% of 121)35% (won 99% of 196)36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up—17% (won 97% of 142)19% (won 100% of 109)32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo000x53eCc53E7BreakTheBankRN1
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.9KNo $407K—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $970Yes $15K—
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $144Yes $31—