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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241LightParadoxRN1
Record (consensus markets)75% (6–2, n=8)56% (101–79, n=180)54% (691–600, n=1291)47% (14377–16003, n=30380)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$3.5M$23K$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #19was PM monthly #373PM monthly #224PM monthly #22 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position51% (40 of 79 open)58% (45 of 78 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
  • NBA +48 pts n=77, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +24 pts n=276, ROI +28%
  • Tennis +24 pts n=19, ROI +20%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%100% of 392 at avg 70¢, ROI +35%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0%7% (won 75% of 8)6% (won 100% of 23)10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢0%26% (won 93% of 29)19% (won 100% of 76)22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢100% (won 86% of 7)42% (won 96% of 47)20% (won 100% of 78)36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up0%24% (won 96% of 27)55% (won 100% of 215)32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

15 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241LightParadoxRN1
Costa do Sauipe: Luis Felipe Miguel vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes
opposite sides · consensus Igor Ribeiro Marcondes
——Igor Ribeiro Marcondes $2.0KLuis Felipe Miguel $1.3K
Will AD Pasto vs. Jaguares de Córdoba FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $3No $2.4K
Villa Maria: Federico Coria vs Ivan Dreycopp
opposite sides · consensus Federico Coria
——Federico Coria $637Ivan Dreycopp $1.3K
Avalanche vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $19Over $1.4K
Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $467Yes $173
Stars vs. Capitals
opposite sides · consensus Stars
——Capitals $5Stars $118
Will Halmstads BK win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1No $19
Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida
same side · consensus Facundo Acosta
——Facundo Acosta $2.2KFacundo Acosta $37K
Will Jaguares de Córdoba FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
——No $8No $2.3K
Al Hilal SFC vs. Shabab Al Ahli Dubai: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $282Under $1.3K
Will SC Internacional win on 2026-11-03?
same side · consensus No
——No $102No $1.3K
Spread: Ohio (-13.5)
same side · consensus Ohio
——Akron $302Akron $563
SC Internacional vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $21Under $415
SC Internacional vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $34Under $252
Exact Score: IK Sirius 0 - 0 Halmstads BK?
same side · consensus No
——No $139No $130
Sportivo San Lorenzo leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——No $126No $139
Exact Score: SC Internacional 0 - 0 Coritiba FBC?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $119Yes $78
Coritiba FBC leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——No $11No $134
Will Club Alianza Lima win on 2026-11-03?
same side · consensus No
——No $63No $63
Will Sporting FC win on 2026-11-03?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $85No $32
Will IK Sirius win on 2026-11-03?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $26No $46
Al Hilal SFC vs. Shabab Al Ahli Dubai: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $22Over $19