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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000x69f0C154a3412F2b3Fa7eB22c6d08E6B5B32FB27-1778811502354RN1sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (517–632, n=1149)47% (14348–15981, n=30329)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$72K$14.8M$4.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #19was PM monthly #18PM monthly #18 + pinnedwas PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position65% (132 of 203 open)60% (35 of 58 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Elections −2 pts, n=313——
Settled positions, side won86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%63% of 1818 at avg 63¢, ROI +6%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢0%35% (won 1% of 637)10% (won 57% of 2606)0%
Entries 30–50¢0%2% (won 51% of 37)22% (won 94% of 5665)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢100% (won 86% of 7)3% (won 74% of 54)36% (won 99% of 9185)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up0%60% (won 99% of 1090)32% (won 100% of 8345)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.