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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000x6b25c5c4d1e681d2203297803793ad8c732b7a69joseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)75% (6–2, n=8)49% (1237–1285, n=2522)53% (10–9, n=19)47% (14377–16003, n=30380)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$12K$5.6M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #19was PM monthly #813PM monthly #2PM monthly #23 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position37% (27 of 73 open)no open consensus position55% (43 of 78 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Soccer −1 pts, n=390——
Settled positions, side won86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%47% of 1392 at avg 46¢, ROI +2%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0%38% (won 10% of 523)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢0%18% (won 40% of 246)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢100% (won 86% of 7)14% (won 64% of 199)65% (won 73% of 11)36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up0%30% (won 88% of 424)18% (won 67% of 3)32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo000x6b25c5c4d1e681d2203297803793ad8c732b7a69joseph00677RN1
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $5—Over $3.9K
Al Hilal SFC vs. Shabab Al Ahli Dubai: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $13—Under $2.5K
Ohio vs. Akron
same side · consensus Ohio
—Ohio $104—Ohio $4.0K
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2—Under $353