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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225BreakTheBankndb1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market36% (499–900, n=1399)46% (560–665, n=1225)65% (886–468, n=1354)
Consensus PnL—$119K$11.2M$4.2M
Tracked as—PM monthly #30PM monthly #2PM monthly #145
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position74% (204 of 275 open)48% (10 of 21 open)74% (34 of 46 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
Weakest topic—Soccer −1 pts, n=687—NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won—59% of 3904 at avg 59¢, ROI +1%97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢—38% (won 3% of 1478)10% (won 81% of 57)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢—3% (won 43% of 121)36% (won 98% of 201)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢—4% (won 70% of 163)35% (won 99% of 196)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up—55% (won 98% of 2142)19% (won 100% of 109)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo000x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225BreakTheBankndb1
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $22No $482K—
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $68Yes $16K—