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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000xe98c6194374418b1d1b27321f025bd64ac2c8792Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)no settled marketno settled market75% (739–246, n=985)44% (193–242, n=435)
Consensus PnL——$69K$17K
Tracked as——PM monthly #14PM monthly #45
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position65% (74 of 113 open)73% (11 of 15 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Soccer −8 pts, n=40—
Settled positions, side won——44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%100% of 134 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢——34% (won 10% of 30)5% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 30–50¢——19% (won 29% of 17)38% (won 100% of 51)
Entries 50–70¢——13% (won 55% of 11)50% (won 100% of 67)
Entries 70¢ and up——34% (won 83% of 30)7% (won 100% of 9)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo000xe98c6194374418b1d1b27321f025bd64ac2c8792Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud
opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud
——Alexander Shevchenko $958Casper Ruud $5.2K
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
——Bucks $174Lakers $3.2K
WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova
opposite sides · consensus Elina Svitolina
——Karolina Muchova $2.3KElina Svitolina $447
W35 Heraklion: Anna Petkovic vs Tina Nadine Smith
opposite sides · consensus Anna Petkovic
——Anna Petkovic $601Tina Nadine Smith $917
BNP Paribas Nordic Open (Doubles): Pavlasek/Rikl vs Arends/Johnson
same side · consensus Pavlasek/Rikl
——Pavlasek/Rikl $4.1KPavlasek/Rikl $1.9K
WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva
same side · consensus Aryna Sabalenka
——Aryna Sabalenka $984Aryna Sabalenka $3.6K
Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Daniel Altmaier
same side · consensus Buvaysar Gadamauri
——Buvaysar Gadamauri $1.0KBuvaysar Gadamauri $1.9K