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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)75% (6–2, n=8)71% (23175–9553, n=32728)67% (43–21, n=64)47% (14329–15967, n=30296)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$164K$6.1M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #19was PM monthly #94was PM monthly #24PM monthly #18 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position79% (37 of 47 open)100% (1 of 1 open)57% (21 of 37 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Esports +3 pts n=28, ROI +2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=28, ROI −6%
  • NFL +3 pts n=11, ROI −2%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—Weather −2 pts, n=541NBA −6 pts, n=93—
Settled positions, side won86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%59% of 2880 at avg 60¢, ROI +1%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0%35% (won 2% of 1006)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢0%4% (won 45% of 112)30% (won 57% of 63)22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢100% (won 86% of 7)5% (won 65% of 156)54% (won 51% of 115)36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up0%56% (won 96% of 1606)14% (won 86% of 29)32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.