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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00ferrariChampions2026BreakTheBankVenusian
Record (consensus markets)no settled market35% (3649–6671, n=10320)45% (573–710, n=1283)50% (1015–1019, n=2034)
Consensus PnL—$3.0M$7.9M$6.9K
Tracked as—was PM monthly #870PM monthly #3PM monthly #601
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position73% (24 of 33 open)82% (23 of 28 open)43% (51 of 120 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won——97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 618 at avg 72¢, ROI +30%
Entries under 30¢——11% (won 80% of 61)6% (won 100% of 38)
Entries 30–50¢——35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 100% of 100)
Entries 50–70¢——35% (won 100% of 201)19% (won 100% of 118)
Entries 70¢ and up——20% (won 100% of 115)59% (won 100% of 362)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo00ferrariChampions2026BreakTheBankVenusian
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bayer 04 Leverkusen
—Bayer 04 Leverkusen $33K—Olympique de Marseille $109
Cali: Carole Monnet vs Leyre Romero Gormaz
opposite sides · consensus Carole Monnet
—Carole Monnet $17K—Leyre Romero Gormaz $4.4K
Spread: James Madison (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus James Madison
—James Madison $8.4K—Southern Miss $45
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg
opposite sides · consensus Max Hans Rehberg
—Max Hans Rehberg $4.3K—Daniel Milavsky $2.5K
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sport Lisboa e Benfica
—Sport Lisboa e Benfica $3.0K—KKS Lech Poznań $117
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.2K—Over $75
Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Nordsjælland
—FC Nordsjælland $1.6K—AS Monaco FC $11
AS Monaco FC vs. FC Nordsjælland: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $716—Over $42
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $132—Under $308
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)
same side · consensus KKS Lech Poznań
—Sport Lisboa e Benfica $30K—Sport Lisboa e Benfica $1.0K
Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic
same side · consensus Filip Misolic
—Filip Misolic $24K—Filip Misolic $2.0K
Cali: Luisina Giovannini vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
—Bianca Andreescu $3.5K—Bianca Andreescu $8.1K