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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00BiggggggggBreakTheBankndb1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market42% (1399–1962, n=3361)45% (573–710, n=1283)66% (901–474, n=1375)
Consensus PnL—$559K$9.4M$4.5M
Tracked as—PM monthly #9PM monthly #3PM monthly #100
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position55% (117 of 214 open)85% (29 of 34 open)73% (110 of 151 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic—Economy −5 pts, n=109—NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won—66% of 3822 at avg 64¢, ROI +1%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢—30% (won 7% of 1163)11% (won 80% of 61)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢—5% (won 43% of 182)35% (won 98% of 203)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢—5% (won 68% of 179)35% (won 100% of 201)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up—60% (won 97% of 2298)20% (won 100% of 115)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo00BiggggggggBreakTheBankndb1
Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2—No $171
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
——No $407KNo $335K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $278KYes $11K
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $9—Yes $61K
Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?
same side · consensus No
—No $10—No $2.0K
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
—No $46—No $356