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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00BiggggggggBreakTheBankprimm
Record (consensus markets)no settled market20% (1344–5407, n=6751)45% (576–717, n=1293)50% (1116–1128, n=2244)
Consensus PnL—$566K$7.9M$3.6M
Tracked as—PM monthly #9PM monthly #3PM monthly #52
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position71% (163 of 230 open)88% (22 of 25 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic—Economy −5 pts, n=113——
Settled positions, side won—66% of 3892 at avg 65¢, ROI +1%97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢—30% (won 7% of 1167)10% (won 82% of 60)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢—5% (won 43% of 183)35% (won 98% of 204)41% (won 99% of 412)
Entries 50–70¢—5% (won 67% of 184)35% (won 100% of 202)50% (won 99% of 503)
Entries 70¢ and up—61% (won 98% of 2358)20% (won 100% of 116)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.