Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00Biggggggggndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market20% (1335–5382, n=6717)63% (989–572, n=1561)48% (14109–15586, n=29695)
Consensus PnL—$566K$3.2M$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #8PM monthly #104PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position65% (193 of 296 open)72% (68 of 95 open)63% (93 of 147 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Economy −5 pts, n=109NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won—66% of 3822 at avg 64¢, ROI +1%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—30% (won 7% of 1163)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢—5% (won 43% of 182)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢—5% (won 68% of 179)24% (won 58% of 314)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up—60% (won 97% of 2298)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo00Biggggggggndb1RN1
Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2No $173—
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $9Yes $64K—
Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?
same side · consensus No
—No $10No $2.0K—
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
—No $46No $358—